Future Redbirds
erik | azru | roarke | Readers | |
1 | Rasmus | Rasmus | Rasmus | Rasmus |
2 | Garcia | Garcia | Garcia | Garcia |
3 | Anderson | Anderson | Perez | Anderson |
4 | Perez | Perez | Ottavino | Perez |
5 | Ottavino | Ottavino | Barton | Ottavino |
6 | Herron | Herron | Anderson | Herron |
7 | Mortensen | Mortensen | Craig | Mortensen |
8 | Kozma | Motte | Herron | Barton |
9 | Maiques | Craig | Motte | Boggs |
10 | Boggs | Walters | Mortensen | Craig |
11 | Craig | Hoffpauir | Hoffpauir | Kozma |
12 | Hamilton | Boggs | Walters | Martinez |
13 | Hoffpauir | Maiques | Boggs | Walters |
14 | Motte | Hamilton | Freese | Hoffpauir |
15 | Todd | Mather | Mather | Freese |
16 | Mather | Kozma | McClellan | Maiques |
17 | Walters | Martinez | Maiques | Mather |
18 | Martinez | Todd | Jay | Motte |
19 | Furnish | Jay | Furnish | Jay |
20 | Norrick | Degerman | Todd | Hamilton |
21 | Edwards | Greene | Kozma | Todd |
22 | McClellan | Haerther | Hamilton | Hooker |
23 | Haerther | McCormick | Worrell | Edwards |
24 | Ingram | Jones | Martinez | McClellan |
25 | De la Cruz | King | Haerther | Hill |
Other Prominent Analysts
The Birdhouse | McKamey | Sickels | BA | Goldstein | |
1 | Rasmus | Rasmus | Rasmus | Rasmus | Rasmus |
2 | Anderson | Garcia | Perez | Perez | Perez |
3 | Garcia | Anderson | Garcia | Anderson | Anderson |
4 | Perez | Perez | Ottavino | Barton | Ottavino |
5 | Ottavino | Kozma | Anderson | Garcia | Garcia |
6 | Herron | Mortensen | Herron | Ottavino | Herron |
7 | Martinez | Barton | Mortensen | Kozma | Martinez |
8 | Mather | Ottavino | Kozma | Mortensen | Kozma |
9 | Mortensen | Herron | Todd | Boggs | Mortensen |
10 | Walters | Hamilton | Craig | Herron | Mather |
11 | Craig | Martinez | Walters | Jay | Hoffpauir |
12 | Hamilton | Jay | Martinez | Todd | |
13 | Boggs | Freese | Boggs | Mather | |
14 | Hoffpauir | Hawksworth | Jay | Maiques | |
15 | Maiques | Mather | Barton | Craig | |
16 | Kozma | Mather | Walters | ||
17 | Greene | Freese | Martinez | ||
18 | Todd | Haerther | Furnish | ||
19 | Jay | Kopp | McClellan | ||
20 | McCormick | Hill | Hawksworth | ||
21 | Kinney | Hoffpauir | |||
22 | Motte | Worrell | |||
23 | Hawksworth | Parisi | |||
24 | Gregerson | Motte | |||
25 | Edwards | McCormick |
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Baseball America’s Top 10 Prospects
Kevin Goldstein’s Top 11 Prospects
- NL
John Sickels’ Top 20 Prospects
- AL
Surprised to not see Tyler Henley at 20-25 on either list, or Jay on Erik’s. Jay had essentially a “lost” season in that he was hurt and scuffled, but he was not abysmal….and it is hard to ignore that strong batting line he put in 2006, straight out of NCAA and into A – yes, relatv=ively old for competition, but the .416/.462 line with 28/29 BB/K is very strong for a guy getting his first taste of pros. I don’t think his regression in 2007 was so bad that he has no MLB future…in which case, I think he’s got to be a Cardinal top-25. Remember, he was still only 22 in 2007.
Henley has a great scouting report, and is in a system with few solid OF prospects. His report reads like Jay with better defense and more pop, or a mark Kotsay type of guy. You can read a brief summary on him here: http://ww2.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/events/draft_report/y2007/index.jsp?mc=henley
To me, he’s a better prospect than the lesser pitching prospects.
Norrick is definately underated…He should be on both lists for sure in my opinion. He had been solid across the board and should contribute in St. Louis in some capacity for sure. Also Jay is still thought of very very highely in the system. He was started in AA in his first full season. Then he was put straight to leadoff. He did start slow but then had his season lost to injuries…I would bet he has a bigger year next year than most would expect. He was Braun’s protection at Miami so that has to count for soething.
Hard to say whose list I agree with more. Az has some real reaches with Deggerman and King and some picks based soly on potential with McCorkmack and Jones (and to a lesser extent Greene). Eric I thought originally was a little more safe with his picks but I´m really down on Edwards after repeating the same level and regressing and I think we really don´t have enough history to know how GCL performance by guys like Ingram and De la Cruz will translate at higher levels.
I think both underated Haerther and Martinez and Eric underated Walters. Motte seems a little high on Az´s list but I can understand his reasoning.
I guess the real bottom line is that up through about 18-19 I think both groups are solid. After that, they get a little questionable but i guess that is just the nature of the beast – the farther down you go the riskier the picks will always look.
the more i think about it, the more i feel like both of you neglected the 2007 draft class. i know the sample sizes we get are small and i know that pitching dominates hitting at low levels. but, if you think about it, it takes about 4 to 5 years for most legit prospects to graduate to the majors. that would mean that about a fifth of our lists should have green draftees. granted, draft talent varies year to year, but i would urge this principle as a general caution. erik, i think you already suggested as much to az when analyzing his list. overall, though, i think you both might be a little guilty. that said, you both know a hell of a lot more than me and i certainly respect and appreciate both of your analyses.